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Individual Share Betting
Over the last few months you have seen the price of XYZ Company fall
rapidly from £4 per share to £3 and you believe this would
be a good price to buy (to go long of the shares) for a number of reasons.
You ring your bookmaker or bookrunner and if we take today as being
January 1st, ask for the price in the 'March expiry' XYZ share.
Remember, check the actual expiry date and time. For this example we
will use March 1st at 11am.
The quote is 318-321 pence. Here it is important to understand that
this price will normally be at a premium (higher) than today's price
to reflect any dividends due to the underlying share and the 'time
value' of the bet. (Actually the 'time value' represents the
possibility of how the share price might change over the period to
expiry - called the 'volatility', and also that £1 today is
worth more than £1 in e.g. 3-months time because of the interest
that could have been earned on deposit in a bank over that period.)
In this case the bet has almost 2 full months to run and you feel the
price will rise above this level within this time period. So you buy
say £5 a point (for every penny XYZ moves) which means you pay
the higher (offered price) and go long (buy) at 321.
Remember the price of XYZ Company is "live" and at any time
during its tradable day you may check the price and trade if you want
to. Bookmakers/bookrunners will trade in a particular bet during
their published hours.
Point to Note
As the bet stands you are liable for an unknown amount of losses if
the share continues to fall. You may decide that you only wish to
lose a certain maximum amount of money so you can protect your bet by
taking out a guaranteed stop-loss. For this service the bookmaker or
bookrunner will charge you an extra premium (fee) but you have the
comfort of knowing your worst-case scenario. If the price falls to
your guaranteed stop-level you will be automatically stopped out and
your positions squared out.
Most types of spread bets can be protected by a guaranteed stop-loss
and the size of the premium charged will depend on the length of the
contract in time, the underlying cost and volatility of the
instrument involved.
So back to the example:
Mr A buys £5 at 321 with no guaranteed stop-loss.
Result 1
In approximately 1 month, February 1st, Mr A reviews his position.
Shares of XYZ Company are 335 due to a strong rebound in the market.
Mr A decides to take the profit.
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Profit |
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Mr A is long at |
321 |
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Price of XYZ on Feb 1st |
335 |
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Difference |
+14 |
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Result +14 x £5 stake |
= £70 profit |
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Result 2
In approximately 1 month, February 1st, Mr A reviews his position.
Shares of XYZ are 290 due to a poor market.
Mr A decides to take his loss.
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Loss |
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Mr A is long at |
321 |
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Price of XYZ on Feb 1st |
290 |
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Difference |
-31 |
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Result -31 x £5 stake |
= £155 loss |
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Result 3
Mr A runs the bet until expiry on March 1st.
The price of XYZ Company is now 350.
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Profit |
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Mr A is long at |
321 |
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Price of XYZ on Mar 1st |
350 |
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Difference |
+19 |
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Result +19 x £5 stake |
= £95 profit |
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Result 4
Mr A runs the bet until expiry on March 1st.
The price of XYZ Company is now 285.
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Profit |
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Mr A is long at |
321 |
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Price of XYZ on Mar 1st |
285 |
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Difference |
-36 |
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Result -36 x £5 stake |
= £180 loss |
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